Manifold is a play-money forecasting site — you trade with a virtual currency. Morfi puts real money behind every debate: you back a side, prices move with the crowd, the market decides a winner, and winners split a real prize pool. One is a forecasting game; the other has real stakes and real payouts.
| Feature | Morfi | Manifold |
|---|---|---|
| Stakes | Real money, real payouts | Play money — a virtual currency |
| Question type | Subjective debates the crowd decides | User-created forecasting questions |
| Resolution | The market decides its own winner | Usually resolved by the question creator |
| What winners get | Split a prize pool; winning side graduates into a token | Play-money profit — no cash payout |
| Market creation | Anyone — via Proposals, the crowd backs it live | Anyone can create a question |
| Early-backer rewards | Back a proposal early, earn a share of its fees | None |
| Onboarding | Email signup, wallet created automatically | Account signup |
| Currency display | Local currency, 21 languages | Play-money units |